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A look at ETHās breakout

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We got the 166-page crypto report from the White House yesterday, though folks were quick to point out that itās missing an update on the strategic bitcoin reserve.
But thereās still a lot more to digest, and I wouldnāt blame you if you were looking around for a TL;DR, which Jitoās chief legal officer Rebecca Rettig has kindly supplied.
1/ Always jealous of the lawyers/policy folks that do monster threads, so going to try to š§µ for the President's WG Report (it's a š = 160 pp). Big kudos to @davidsacks47 and @BoHines for their tireless efforts on this. I think I start with "Let's dive in" šŖ
ā Rebecca Rettig (@RebeccaRettig1)
6:57 PM ⢠Jul 30, 2025
There are some wins for the industry buried in the report, she noted, including the highlight of how crypto firms have struggled to get adequate insurance.
Rettig further pointed out that, on page 106, the report details the challenges of trying to regulate DeFi under traditional AML regulations.
š”ļø Market check-in
Itās the final day of July, so I figured, why not look back at this month and recap what happened from a market point of view?
I wouldnāt blame you for forgetting some of the big events that happened just this month, such as bitcoin topping a fresh all-time high (though itās backed down slightly since), the passage of the GENIUS act, and ETH being up 56% in the past month.
Speaking of ETH, Krakenās OTC desk noted: āETH has broken decisively above the long-standing pivot at $2,813, a level that had capped price for over a year. This breakout marks a significant structural shift and clears the path towards the next major resistance zone near $4,000, which now comes into view as the next upside target.ā
In the short term, however, we may be in for a somewhat volatile start to August, given Trumpās tariff deadline and other macroeconomic factors. Though even bearing that in mind, Krakenās OTC report suggests that the momentum has already softened for bitcoin.
The good news: bitcoin managed to bounce back from an initial dip after Galaxy unloaded 80,000 BTC for a client.
āOne core explanation behind the resilience lies in the continuous strong accumulation from BTC treasury vehicles and ETPs throughout July,ā K33 noted. That helped to offset the āsale order effect in the broad market. This resilience has reignited risk appetite, with perpetual futures open interest climbing toward Q4 2024 highs, though funding rates have remained neutral.ā
I donāt think anyone will be surprised by the next stat that K33 pointed out: While July tends to be a more chill month, this July bucked the trend.
āAverage daily trading volumes over the past week come in at $4bn. This reflects a 12% decline from last weekās level but remains well above May to June levels,ā K33 said.
Like I noted above, the first week of August may not be very smooth, but the volatility may not be here to stay.
Looking at CME data, K33 analysts said that the āAugust premium over July futures initially reflected confidence, but compressed post-expiry to levels not seen since May, signaling cautious medium-term positioning during a seasonally quieter period.ā
At least weāre at the tail end of the dog days of summer.
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Kraken, which has expressed interest in going public, saw its earnings fall 6.8% year-over-year in the second quarter.
This morning, Circle announced that native USDC and CCTP V2 are coming soon to Hyperliquid.
Robinhood reported earnings, noting that cryptocurrency trading came in below estimates at $160 million, versus $168 million.
Institutional interest in Ethereum is running hot. ETF flows are gaining momentum, new token acquisition vehicles are forming every week, and ecosystem morale is nearing ATHs.
The only question left: Where will $ETH be when DAS London kicks off this October?
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š October 13-15 | London
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